Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240955           3          13          66          16           2        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00110930           3           8          66          14           9        C3.4
GOES Xray  =   1.05174e-06           1           0          28          58          13        M1.7
est. ISN   =            83           1           1          58          34           6        C7.5
 
together                             2.00        5.50       54.50       30.50        7.50     C6.5
 
realized                                                                                      M1.1