Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237518           3          26          59          10           2        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00104334           2          17          56          21           4        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   7.26525e-07           1           0          53          36          10        C9.3
est. ISN   =            65           4          10          63          21           2        C3.8
 
together                             2.50       13.25       57.75       22.00        4.50     C4.0
 
realized                                                                                      C1.7