Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237041           1          29          57          12           1        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00102578           3          16          54          23           4        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   6.74201e-07           1           0          59          34           6        C8.2
est. ISN   =            67           1           7          68          23           1        C3.9
 
together                             1.25       13.25       59.50       23.00        3.00     C3.9
 
realized                                                                                      C9.8