Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235941           4          34          51          10           1        C1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00101825           2          18          57          21           2        C2.3
GOES Xray  =   5.77316e-07           1           0          66          30           3        C6.6
est. ISN   =            61           3          15          61          19           2        C3.7
 
together                             2.25       16.75       59.00       20.00        2.00     C3.1
 
realized                                                                                      C9.8