Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235167           5          40          43          11           1        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000999052           1          17          54          25           3        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   5.15033e-07           2           0          62          34           2        C6.1
est. ISN   =            43           4          35          54           5           2        C1.3
 
together                             3.00       23.00       53.25       18.75        2.00     C2.5
 
realized                                                                                      C2.2