Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234007           4          44          39          12           1        C1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000963206           1          30          53          14           2        C1.9
GOES Xray  =   4.07785e-07           1           2          79          17           1        C3.0
est. ISN   =            39           5          47          41           6           1        B9.6
 
together                             2.50       31.00       53.00       12.25        1.25     C1.8
 
realized                                                                                      C2.3