Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233848           3          43          41          12           1        C1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000957913           2          33          52          12           1        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   4.12531e-07           1           1          80          16           2        C3.0
est. ISN   =            41           5          36          50           7           2        C1.3
 
together                             2.50       28.50       55.75       11.75        1.50     C1.8
 
realized                                                                                      C2.8