Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235481           4          41          44          11           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000991960           2          21          49          24           4        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   5.43936e-07           1           0          70          26           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =            32           4          46          38          12           0        C1.0
 
together                             2.75       27.00       50.25       18.25        1.75     C2.5
 
realized                                                                                      M1.4