Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238295           5          21          57          15           2        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103345           3          20          51          22           4        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   7.58300e-07           1           0          49          42           8        M1.0
est. ISN   =            64           4          11          58          25           2        C3.6
 
together                             3.25       13.00       53.75       26.00        4.00     C4.0
 
realized                                                                                      C5.7