Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243017           2          15          60          20           3        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00110962           3           8          66          14           9        C3.4
GOES Xray  =   1.34147e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            77           1           9          59          28           3        C4.9
 
together                             1.75        8.00       52.50       30.25        7.50     C6.1
 
realized                                                                                      M1.6