Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236227           4          31          55           9           1        C1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000990943           2          20          50          24           4        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   6.57884e-07           1           0          61          32           6        C8.4
est. ISN   =            59           3          19          61          16           1        C2.7
 
together                             2.50       17.50       56.75       20.25        3.00     C3.4
 
realized                                                                                      C3.4