Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235896           4          34          51          10           1        C1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000980655           3          22          51          21           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   6.69419e-07           1           0          61          32           6        C7.7
est. ISN   =            54           2          19          62          17           0        C2.5
 
together                             2.50       18.75       56.25       20.00        2.50     C3.2
 
realized                                                                                      C8.4