Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235298           5          40          43          11           1        C1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000970675           2          28          51          16           3        C2.1
GOES Xray  =   6.12025e-07           1           0          64          32           3        C6.6
est. ISN   =            41           5          36          50           7           2        C1.3
 
together                             3.00       26.00       52.25       16.50        2.25     C2.4
 
realized                                                                                      C2.8