Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236280           4          29          56          10           1        C1.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000989421           2          19          50          25           4        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   7.91851e-07           1           0          53          39           7        C8.6
est. ISN   =            22           8          54          34           4           0        B6.5
 
together                             3.50       25.50       48.50       19.50        3.00     C2.7
 
realized                                                                                      C7.6