Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236368           4          30          57           8           1        C1.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000990881           2          20          50          24           4        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   8.36377e-07           1           0          53          37           9        C8.4
est. ISN   =            20          13          57          27           3           0        B4.6
 
together                             4.75       26.75       47.00       18.00        3.50     C2.5
 
realized                                                                                      C4.8