Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00244666           4          13          53          25           5        C4.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00113194           3           4          70          18           5        C5.5
GOES Xray  =   1.47757e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            40           6          44          43           6           1        C1.0
 
together                             3.50       15.25       47.75       27.00        6.50     C4.8
 
realized                                                                                      C7.5