Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00245078           4          14          51          24           7        C4.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00117493           3           4          66          25           2        C4.6
GOES Xray  =   1.32997e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           112           1           0          56          35           8        C8.4
 
together                             2.00        4.50       49.75       35.75        8.00     C8.4
 
realized                                                                                      M1.4