Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241740           2          14          63          17           4        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00112798           3           4          65          20           8        C5.7
GOES Xray  =   9.95420e-07           1           0          32          57          10        M1.3
est. ISN   =           108           1           0          59          33           7        C8.2
 
together                             1.50        4.75       54.75       31.75        7.25     C7.1
 
realized                                                                                      C4.4