Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241719           2          14          64          17           3        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00113530           2           4          70          20           4        C5.5
GOES Xray  =   9.82779e-07           1           0          36          54           9        M1.2
est. ISN   =           112           1           0          56          35           8        C8.4
 
together                             1.25        4.50       56.75       31.50        6.00     C6.8
 
realized                                                                                      C3.6