Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238334           5          20          58          15           2        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00105931           2          14          59          20           5        C3.8
GOES Xray  =   7.70056e-07           1           0          50          42           7        C9.9
est. ISN   =            65           4          10          63          21           2        C3.8
 
together                             2.75       11.00       57.75       24.50        4.00     C4.2
 
realized                                                                                      C4.0