Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236373           4          30          57           8           1        C1.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00102274           3          16          56          22           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   6.68011e-07           1           0          61          32           6        C7.7
est. ISN   =            68           1           8          67          23           1        C3.8
 
together                             2.25       13.50       60.25       21.25        2.75     C3.6
 
realized                                                                                      C8.1