Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234861           4          42          43          10           1        C1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000977808           3          23          53          19           2        C2.5
GOES Xray  =   7.04042e-07           1           0          56          35           8        C8.5
est. ISN   =            86           1           0          61          32           6        C7.0
 
together                             2.25       16.25       53.25       24.00        4.25     C4.1
 
realized                                                                                      M1.5