Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00246332           2          16          52          23           7        C5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00123061           1           0          66          30           3        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   1.31552e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            93           1           0          74          21           4        C5.7
 
together                             1.00        4.25       54.25       33.25        7.25     C7.3
 
realized                                                                                      C7.3