Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00247414           2           9          61          24           4        C4.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00124167           1           1          62          32           4        C5.4
GOES Xray  =   1.50517e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            90           1           0          74          20           5        C4.7
 
together                             1.25        2.50       55.50       33.75        7.00     C7.3
 
realized                                                                                      C8.3