Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00244649           4          13          54          24           5        C4.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00119778           1           5          60          31           3        C5.0
GOES Xray  =   1.18685e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            91           1           0          74          20           5        C4.7
 
together                             1.75        4.50       53.25       33.50        7.00     C7.3
 
realized                                                                                      C8.1