Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239726           1          12          64          21           2        C3.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00112900           3           4          68          18           7        C5.0
GOES Xray  =   7.43848e-07           1           0          49          43           7        M1.0
est. ISN   =            67           1           7          68          23           1        C3.9
 
together                             1.50        5.75       62.25       26.25        4.25     C5.0
 
realized                                                                                      C4.5