Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238970           5          17          56          20           2        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00110285           2          12          64          15           7        C3.3
GOES Xray  =   7.13052e-07           1           0          56          34           9        C8.5
est. ISN   =            46           4          24          61           8           3        C1.8
 
together                             3.00       13.25       59.25       19.25        5.25     C3.6
 
realized                                                                                      C1.9