Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239973           2          14          60          23           1        C3.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00109359           2          14          64          14           6        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   9.43055e-07           1           0          43          47           9        M1.1
est. ISN   =            32           4          46          38          12           0        C1.0
 
together                             2.25       18.50       51.25       24.00        4.00     C3.9
 
realized                                                                                      X5.0