Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238377           5          19          59          15           2        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106630           2          15          62          18           3        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   8.50663e-07           1           0          51          40           8        C9.0
est. ISN   =            34           7          47          35          11           0        B8.9
 
together                             3.50       20.25       52.00       21.00        3.25     C3.2
 
realized                                                                                      M4.7