Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237843           5          25          55          13           2        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106182           2          15          61          19           3        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   7.70363e-07           1           0          50          42           7        C9.9
est. ISN   =            64           4          11          58          25           2        C3.6
 
together                             2.75       12.75       56.25       24.75        3.50     C4.0
 
realized                                                                                      M3.8