Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239252           3          15          59          21           2        C3.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00108627           3          15          65          14           3        C2.6
GOES Xray  =   8.92634e-07           1           0          49          44           6        M1.0
est. ISN   =            73           1           6          54          35           4        C7.0
 
together                             2.00        9.00       56.75       28.50        3.75     C4.9
 
realized                                                                                      C3.7