Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243218           3          17          56          21           3        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00116170           3           1          73          22           1        C4.6
GOES Xray  =   1.17631e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            87           1           0          66          28           5        C6.0
 
together                             1.75        4.50       55.25       32.50        6.00     C6.8
 
realized                                                                                      C3.9