Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00249600           1           4          63          31           1        C4.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00128422           1           2          63          31           3        C6.5
GOES Xray  =   1.80664e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           110           1           0          57          35           7        C8.3
 
together                             0.75        1.50       52.25       39.00        6.50     C8.6
 
realized                                                                                      M1.5