Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00248204           1           5          59          31           4        C4.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00126630           2           3          60          33           2        C6.0
GOES Xray  =   1.57966e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           112           1           0          56          35           8        C8.4
 
together                             1.00        2.00       50.25       39.50        7.25     C8.6
 
realized                                                                                      M1.0