Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00245807           2          14          53          23           8        C6.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00123648           1           1          62          32           4        C5.2
GOES Xray  =   1.33961e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           110           1           0          57          35           7        C8.3
 
together                             1.00        3.75       49.50       37.25        8.50     C8.6
 
realized                                                                                      C2.7