Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243007           2          15          60          20           3        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00117689           2           4          65          26           3        C4.6
GOES Xray  =   1.18031e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            87           1           0          66          28           5        C6.0
 
together                             1.25        4.75       54.25       33.25        6.50     C6.8
 
realized                                                                                      C2.6