Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236440           3          29          57           9           2        C2.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00105321           3          15          57          20           5        C4.2
GOES Xray  =   6.11359e-07           1           0          64          32           3        C6.8
est. ISN   =            85           1           1          59          34           5        C7.0
 
together                             1.75       11.25       59.50       23.75        3.75     C4.4
 
realized                                                                                      C1.8