Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240609           3          13          64          18           2        C3.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00110769           3           9          65          15           8        C3.4
GOES Xray  =   1.17594e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            93           1           0          74          21           4        C5.7
 
together                             2.00        5.50       57.00       28.25        7.25     C6.1
 
realized                                                                                      C6.7