Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00245207           5          15          49          24           7        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00117363           3           3          66          26           2        C4.6
GOES Xray  =   1.75950e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           103           1           1          66          28           4        C5.5
 
together                             2.50        4.75       51.50       34.25        7.00     C7.4
 
realized                                                                                      M3.4