Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239352           2          12          61          23           2        C3.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00109325           2          14          64          14           6        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   8.93443e-07           1           0          49          44           6        M1.0
est. ISN   =            58           3          18          65          13           1        C2.9
 
together                             2.00       11.00       59.75       23.50        3.75     C4.3
 
realized                                                                                      C5.5