Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238741           5          18          57          17           3        C3.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00108251           3          13          64          18           2        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   8.82437e-07           1           0          48          46           5        M1.0
est. ISN   =            50           2          15          69          13           1        C2.0
 
together                             2.50       11.50       59.75       23.50        2.75     C4.1
 
realized                                                                                      C9.0