Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238460           5          19          57          17           2        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106510           2          15          62          18           3        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   8.95133e-07           1           0          48          45           6        M1.0
est. ISN   =            41           5          36          50           7           2        C1.3
 
together                             3.25       17.50       54.25       21.75        3.25     C3.5
 
realized                                                                                      C3.3