Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239187           3          15          58          22           2        C3.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106644           2          15          62          18           3        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   1.04291e-06           1           0          29          59          11        M1.5
est. ISN   =            44           4          28          60           7           1        C1.5
 
together                             2.50       14.50       52.25       26.50        4.25     C4.0
 
realized                                                                                      M6.8