Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236547           1          31          57           9           2        C2.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00102188           3          17          57          21           2        C2.4
GOES Xray  =   7.42453e-07           1           0          49          42           8        M1.0
est. ISN   =            44           4          28          60           7           1        C1.5
 
together                             2.25       19.00       55.75       19.75        3.25     C2.7
 
realized                                                                                      C5.7