Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235630           4          39          47           9           1        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100082           1          17          56          24           2        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   7.18910e-07           1           0          55          34          10        C8.6
est. ISN   =            61           3          15          61          19           2        C3.7
 
together                             2.25       17.75       54.75       21.50        3.75     C3.7
 
realized                                                                                      C4.5