Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235178           5          40          43          11           1        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000996153           2          20          51          24           3        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   6.92598e-07           1           0          57          36           6        C8.5
est. ISN   =            68           1           8          67          23           1        C3.8
 
together                             2.25       17.00       54.50       23.50        2.75     C3.6
 
realized                                                                                      C3.0