Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236507           2          30          57           9           2        C2.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00101466           1          17          57          22           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   7.81412e-07           1           0          54          38           7        C8.3
est. ISN   =            70           1           3          68          26           2        C4.3
 
together                             0.75       12.75       59.25       23.75        3.50     C3.8
 
realized                                                                                      M1.1