Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239834           1          13          62          22           2        C3.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106358           2          14          63          18           3        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   1.30648e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            70           1           3          68          26           2        C4.3
 
together                             1.00        7.75       54.50       31.25        5.50     C5.5
 
realized                                                                                      C7.7