Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243958           3          14          54          25           4        C3.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00112321           3           6          67          16           8        C3.6
GOES Xray  =   1.62290e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            98           1           1          68          25           5        C5.9
 
together                             2.00        5.25       53.50       31.25        8.00     C7.0
 
realized                                                                                      M2.1