Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242913           2          15          62          18           3        C3.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00112670           3           4          66          19           8        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   1.32352e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            95           1           0          70          24           5        C5.6
 
together                             1.75        4.75       55.75       30.00        7.75     C6.7
 
realized                                                                                      M5.1